Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.036901 0.040327 0.043800 0.047578 0.051566 0.055644 0.060122
2025-08-10 0.029686 0.034511 0.039595 0.045325 0.051579 0.058173 0.065627
2025-08-17 0.025143 0.030942 0.037269 0.044625 0.052882 0.061809 0.072136
2025-08-24 0.021586 0.028044 0.035323 0.044026 0.054040 0.065103 0.078149
2025-08-31 0.019757 0.026899 0.035172 0.045294 0.057177 0.070530 0.086512
2025-09-07 0.018047 0.025699 0.034798 0.046169 0.059762 0.075267 0.094070
2025-09-14 0.016440 0.024461 0.034241 0.046710 0.061865 0.079391 0.100893
2025-09-21 0.014873 0.023125 0.033440 0.046848 0.063403 0.082795 0.106845
2025-09-28 0.014023 0.022638 0.033633 0.048156 0.066318 0.087811 0.114695
2025-10-05 0.012471 0.021081 0.032350 0.047519 0.066775 0.089832 0.118955
2025-10-12 0.011371 0.020052 0.031678 0.047591 0.068057 0.092813 0.124343
2025-10-19 0.010593 0.019414 0.031472 0.048222 0.070009 0.096594 0.130694
2025-10-26 0.010009 0.019038 0.031621 0.049344 0.072640 0.101293 0.138281
2025-11-02 0.008526 0.017195 0.029651 0.047567 0.071488 0.101259 0.140055
2025-11-09 0.007601 0.016131 0.028706 0.047113 0.072006 0.103285 0.144354
2025-11-16 0.006760 0.015121 0.027777 0.046628 0.072443 0.105182 0.148480
2025-11-23 0.006496 0.015041 0.028199 0.048016 0.075370 0.110260 0.156612
2025-11-30 0.006138 0.014772 0.028316 0.048961 0.077701 0.114584 0.163816
2025-12-07 0.005721 0.014361 0.028191 0.049542 0.079531 0.118264 0.170221
2025-12-14 0.005241 0.013791 0.027787 0.049695 0.080762 0.121162 0.175639
2025-12-21 0.005061 0.013759 0.028217 0.051060 0.083658 0.126243 0.183861
2025-12-28 0.004477 0.012905 0.027295 0.050400 0.083734 0.127615 0.187333
2026-01-04 0.004088 0.012389 0.026886 0.050476 0.084815 0.130301 0.192493